Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://rda.sliit.lk/handle/123456789/3077
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dc.contributor.authorMakumbura, R.K-
dc.contributor.authorRathnayake, U-
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-28T09:24:10Z-
dc.date.available2022-11-28T09:24:10Z-
dc.date.issued2022-10-10-
dc.identifier.citationRandika K. Makumbura, Upaka Rathnayake, "Variation of Leaf Area Index (LAI) under Changing Climate: Kadolkele Mangrove Forest, Sri Lanka", Advances in Meteorology, vol. 2022, Article ID 9693303, 10 pages, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/9693303en_US
dc.identifier.issn1687-9309-
dc.identifier.urihttps://rda.sliit.lk/handle/123456789/3077-
dc.description.abstractMangroves are an essential plant community in coastal ecosystems. While the importance of mangrove ecosystems is well acknowledged, climate change is expected to have a considerable negative impact on them, especially in terms of temperature, precipitation, sea level rise (SLR), ocean currents, and increasing storminess. Sri Lanka ranks near the bottom of the list of countries researching this problem, even though the scientific community's interest in examining the variation in mangrove health in response to climate change has gained significant attention. Consequently, this study illustrates how the leaf area index, a measure of mangrove health, fluctuates in response to varying precipitation, particularly during droughts in Sri Lanka's Kadolkele mangrove forest. The measurements of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were used to produce the leaf area index (LAI), which was then combined with the standard precipitation index (SPI) to estimate the health of the mangroves. The climate scenario, RCP8.5, was used to forecast future SPI (2021–2100), and LAI was modeled under the observed (1991–2019) and expected (2021–2100) drought events. The study reveals that the forecasted drought intensities modeled using the RCP8.5 scenario have no significant variations on LAI, even though some severe and extreme drought conditions exist. Nevertheless, the health of the mangrove ecosystem is predicted to deteriorate under drought conditions and rebound when drought intensity decreases. The extreme drought state (-2.05) was identified in 2064; therefore, LAI has showcased its lowest (0.04). LAI and SPI are projected to gradually increase from 2064 to 2100, while high fluctuations are observed from 2021 to 2064. Limited availability of LAI values with required details (measured date, time, and sample locations) and cloud-free Landsat images have affected the study results. This research presents a comprehensive understanding of Kadolkele mangrove forest under future droughts; thus, alarming relevant authorities to develop management plans to safeguard these critical ecosystems.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherHindawien_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesAdvances in Meteorology;-
dc.subjectVariationen_US
dc.subjectLeaf Area Index (LAI)en_US
dc.subjectChanging Climateen_US
dc.subjectKadolkeleen_US
dc.subjectMangrove Foresten_US
dc.subjectSri Lankaen_US
dc.titleVariation of Leaf Area Index (LAI) under Changing Climate: Kadolkele Mangrove Forest, Sri Lankaen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1155/2022/9693303en_US
Appears in Collections:Department of Civil Engineering

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