Browsing by Author "Vidyasarani G.G.T."

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    AgriSense LK: Weekly Automated Machine Learning for Sri Lankan Produce Prices with Business Continuity Plan, Market Opportunity Ranking, Cultivation Targeting, and Yield Quality Valuation
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2026-05-22) Matharaarachchi, Charaka J.; Samarasinghe, Ravindu T; Vidyasarani G.G.T.; Fasnas, M; Siriwardana, D; Wijesooriya, A
    In Sri Lanka, agricultural decision-making remains largely traditional: decisions are often based on historical practices, informal consultation, and heuristic judgment. The primary barrier is that market price data is difficult to interpret without analytical expertise, resulting in unpredictable price volatility and suboptimal farmer income. AgriSense LK is a machine learning platform that converts historical price records into actionable recommendations for farmers and traders. The system comprises four components: business strategy classification, market opportunity ranking, cultivation targeting, and smartphone-based produce quality grading. The platform was trained on 123,985 real price records sourced from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL), spanning 2017 to 2025. Key results include a MAPE of 0.7% and MAE of Rs. 1.86 on weekly price forecasting (a 98.1% improvement over the naive baseline), a ROC-AUC of 0.9056 on cultivation targeting, and 91.49% crop classification accuracy with 89.84% quality grade accuracy in the computer vision component. Direct price regression over a seven-day horizon proved unreliable; a binary profitability classifier was adopted instead and substantially outperformed the regression approach. While results are promising, further validation under real-world deployment conditions is required.