SLIIT International Conference On Engineering and Technology Vol. 01 [SICET] 2022

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Start date: 2022Subject: search.filters.subject.Machine Learning

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Now showing 1 - 3 of 3
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Cryptocurrency Price Prediction: A Comparative Study using LSTM, GRU and Stacking Ensemble Algorithm for Time Series Forecasting
    (SLIIT, 2022-02-11) Ashikul Islam, M. D
    Technology has significantly reshaped how humans interact with their tangible and intangible surroundings. Cryptocurrency is considered to be one of the most recent technological inventions which revolutionized how we perceive currencies and their functionality. It has become popular because of its safety, security and anonymity. However, volatility remains one of the major issues with cryptocurrencies to this day. Therefore, the primary aim of this paper is to develop LSTM (Long ShortTerm Memory), GRU (Gated Recurrent Units) and a Stacking Ensemble Learning algorithm that efficiently predicts the price of a cryptocurrency for a given period of time. The predictions are then observed and analysed to determine the comparative performance of the said algorithms.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Support Vector Machine Based an Efficient and Accurate Seasonal Weather Forecasting Approach with Minimal Data Quantities
    (SLIIT, 2022-02-11) Chandrasekara, S; Tennekoon, S; Abhayasinghe, N; Seneviratne, L
    Climate change makes a big impact in our daily activities. Therefore, forecasting climate changes prior to its actual occurrences is important. Even though highly accurate weather prediction systems throughout the world are available, they require mass amounts of data exceeding thousands of data points to obtain a significant accuracy. This study was aimed at proposing a Support Vector Machine based approach to carryout seasonal weather predictions up to thirty-minute intervals, the results of which would be considerably effective with respect to predictions carried out with models trained with annual datasets. The model was trained utilizing a dataset corresponding to the district of Kandy which consisted of 136 samples, 20 features, and 5 labels. By means of carrying out numerous data preprocessing steps, the model was trained, and the relevant hyperparameters were optimized considering the grid search algorithm to yield a maximum accuracy of 86%, once tested via the k-fold cross validation. The performance of the Support Vector Machine was also then compared for the same dataset with that of the K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm which consumed relatively fewer computing resources. An optimal accuracy of 61% was observed for this model for a K-value of 27. This approach supported the concept of a Support Vector Machine’s ability to perceive time series forecasts to a relatively higher degree and its ability to perform effectively in higher dimensional datasets with smaller number of samples. As per the future work, the Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis is proposed to be carried out to evaluate the performance of the model and the dataset size is proposed to be further enhanced to a maximum of a thousand samples to yield the best performance results.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Special Event Item Prediction System for Retails – Using Neural Network Approach.
    (SLIIT, 2022-02-11) Alwis, T; Pemarathna, P
    Selling and buying is the general process marketing field follows. Nowadays marketing field bonded with the modern technology, and it highly effected to field expandability. Marketing become fruitful when it achieves its key points which are called sales and profit. Mostly people are move to the retails because all the essentials and other things can buy from one place. There are many technological concepts involve with marketing field as an enhancement. Prediction processes, data analysis, item designing and profit calculation are some representatives for those concepts. This study is a prediction process, developed for retails using machine learning approaches. Item sales data analyzed and generated prediction results on set of items which are given maximum or expected profit margins and which items satisfy the customer most. Item suppliers are key stakeholder type a retail can have, there is a recommender system in this approach for suppliers and the recommendation is based on past sales data. There are certain types of machine learning approaches used in sales item prediction, sales item feature prediction, sales price prediction and etc. Novelty of this research is, it focused only special event items such as items in Christmas season, items specialized for Mother’s Day, Valentine Day, Sinhala, and Tamil new year and etc. This research process had completely followed the machine learning neural network concept. Recurrent Neural Network is subpart of neural networks and this research study followed up through this RNN method. Neural network had applied using a form of machine learning called deep learning. This model had worked on sequential data therefor LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) layers were used and to avoid overfitting issue several dropout layers were used. The results prove neural network method has highest accuracy.