Research Papers - Dept of Computer Systems Engineering

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    Supply and Demand Planning for Water: A Sustainable Water Management System
    (2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Athapaththu, A.M.H.N.; Illeperumarachchi, D.U.S.; Herath, H.M.K.U.; Jayasinghe, H.K.; Rankothge, W.H.; Gamage, N.
    Sustainable water management requires maintaining the balance between the demand and supply, specifically addressing water demand in urban, agricultural, and natural systems. Having an insight on water supply forecasting and water consumption forecasting, will be useful to generate an optimal water distribution plan. A platform that targets the sustainable water management concepts for domestic usage and paddy cultivation is proposed in this paper, with the following components: (1) forecasting water levels of reservoirs, (2) forecasting water consumption patterns, and (3) optimizing the water distribution. We have used Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for forecasting modules and, Genetic Programming (GP) for optimizing water distribution. Our results show that, using our proposed modules, sustainable water management related services can be automated efficiently and effectively.
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    IoT-based Monitoring System for Oyster Mushroom Farming
    (2021 3rd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2021-12-09) Surige, Y.D.; Perera, W.S.M.; Gunarathna, P.K.N.; Ariyarathna, K.P.W.; Gamage, N.; Nawinna, D.
    Agriculture plays a major segment in the economy of Sri Lanka, a developing country. Mushrooms, farming is a popular option among the farmers as it consumes less space and less time for growing while offering a high nutritional value, but most farmers fail to obtain the best yield from their cultivations due to the defects and inefficiencies in the manual methods that are being presently used. This paper presents an ICT solution to avoid inefficiencies in the mushroom farming process. The system is developed focusing one of the popular mushroom type ‘Oyster Mushrooms’. The system offers four functionalities to perform mushroom farming precisely The system offers four functionalities to perform mushroom farming precisely. The Environmental Monitoring function is built with the support of a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), Harvest time detection function is developed with the support of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) with Mobile Net V2 model, The Disease detection and control recommendation function is based on the support of CNN with mobile Net V2 model and the Yield prediction function is developed using the support of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), The farmer is connected to the system through a mobile application. The system can monitor the environmental factors with an accuracy of 89% and the harvest time can be detected with an accuracy of 92%. Also, the system detects the mushroom diseases with an accuracy of 99% and predicts the monthly yield of a mushroom cultivation with an accuracy of 97%. The intense use of precise farming will eventually lead to high mushroom yields.
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    Effectiveness of Stock Index Forecasting using ARIMA model: Evidence from New Zealand
    (2021 3rd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2021-12-09) Dassanayake, W.; Ardekani, I.; Gamage, N.; Jayawardena, C.; Sharifzadeh, H.
    Time series of stock market indices are dynamic, interdependent, and considered sensitive to many factors. Thus, the prediction of such indexes is always challenging. A comprehensive review carried out by the authors finds that no attempts have yet been carried out to test ARIMA models’ predictive efficacy applied to the New Zealand financial markets. Thus, technical analysis based ARIMA prediction models are developed and empirically tested on the New Zealand stock market (NZX50) index. Daily NZX50 index data are used, and the forecasting precision of the models is assessed based on Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE]. Our study finds that ARIMA (1, 1, 0) plus intercept is the best order forecasting model out of the models we examined. Once a substantiate algorithm training is implemented, formulated ARIMA models could be successfully employed to forecast the time series of other stock market indexes or the same index for varied periods. Future researchers could compare the forecasting efficiencies of ARIMA with a deep-learning model such as long short-term memory (LSTM). The presence of limited published research of ARIMA applied to the financial markets of New Zealand validates the need and the contribution of this paper.