Research Papers - Dept of Software Engineering

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    Absorbing Markov Chain Approach to Modelling Disruptions in Supply Chain Networks
    (IEEE, 2019-08) Perera, S; Bell, M; Kurauchi, F; Kasthurirathna, D
    Recent developments in the area of network science has encouraged researchers to adopt a topological perspective in modelling Supply Chain Networks (SCNs). While topological models can provide macro level insights into the properties of SCN systems, the lack of specificity due to high level of abstraction in these models limit their real-world applicability, especially in relation to assessing the impact on SCNs arising due to individual firm or supply channel level disruptions. In particular, beyond the topological structure, a more comprehensive method should also incorporate the heterogeneity of various components (i.e. firms and inter-firm links) which together form the SCN. To fill the above gap, this work proposes using the idea of absorbing Markov chains to model disruption impacts on SCNs. Since this method does not require path enumeration to identify the number of supply chains which form the SCN, it is deemed more efficient compared to the other traditional methods.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Topological structure of manufacturing industry supply chain networks
    (Hindawi, 2018-10-03) Perera, S. S; Bell, M. G. H; Piraveenan, M; Kasthurirathna, D; Parhi, M
    Empirical analyses of supply chain networks (SCNs) in extant literature have been rare due to scarcity of data. As a result, theoretical research have relied on arbitrary growth models to generate network topologies supposedly representative of real-world SCNs. Our study is aimed at filling the above gap by systematically analysing a set of manufacturing sector SCNs to establish their topological characteristics. In particular, we compare the differences in topologies of undirected contractual relationships (UCR) and directed material flow (DMF) SCNs. The DMF SCNs are different from the typical UCR SCNs since they are characterised by a strictly tiered and an acyclic structure which does not permit clustering. Additionally, we investigate the SCNs for any self-organized topological features. We find that most SCNs indicate disassortative mixing and power law distribution in terms of interfirm connections. Furthermore, compared to randomised ensembles, self-organized topological features were evident in some SCNs in the form of either overrepresented regimes of moderate betweenness firms or underrepresented regimes of low betweenness firms. Finally, we introduce a simple and intuitive method for estimating the robustness of DMF SCNs, considering the loss of demand due to firm disruptions. Our work could be used as a benchmark for any future analyses of SCNs.