Scopus Index Publications

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This collection consists of all Scopus-indexed publications produced by SLIIT researchers. Scopus is recognized worldwide as a leading and reputable academic indexing database.

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    PublicationOpen Access
    Uncertainty Reduction in Near Real-time Satellite Precipitation Estimates by Integrating Soil Moisture and Potential Evapotranspiration Using a Machine Learning Approach
    (Springer Science and Business Media, 2026) Wanniarachchi, S; Sarukkalige, R; Hapuarachchi, H. A. P; Gomes, P.I.A; Rathnayake, U
    Near-real-time (NRT) satellite precipitation data inherits complex and random errors due to various reasons. The primary objective of this research is to utilize satellite-based precipitation data for hydrological modelling in ungauged areas. The novelty of this study lies in the development of a hybrid stacking-based machine learning framework that integrates hydrologically meaningful predictors: root-zone soil moisture, potential evapotranspiration (PET), and their time-lagged representations to reduce uncertainty in near-real-time satellite precipitation (GSMaP-NRT). Unlike conventional bias-correction approaches that rely primarily on statistical adjustment between satellite and gauge rainfall, this study incorporates physically relevant catchment-state variables to improve predictive skill, with a focus on the Ovens River basin in Australia. A calibrated GR4H hydrological model was used to simulate the runoff of the catchment. Six objective functions were used to evaluate the performance of the approach. The results demonstrate that stacking machine learning algorithms reduces the Mean Absolute Error of GSMaP-NRT satellite precipitation data by 36% and the corresponding modelled streamflow error by 44% for lower precipitation events (< 2 mm/hour). All six objective functions achieved optimal performances within the low precipitation events. However, RMSE remained high for intermediate and heavy precipitation events. The model-estimated major streamflow peaks for the years 2010 and 2016, based on gauged precipitation and ML-corrected satellite precipitation, are 41% and 48% lower than the observed streamflow peaks, respectively. The reasons were the inability of the GR4H model to capture the perfect initial conditions and the x4 time parameter during the calibration process.
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    PublicationEmbargo
    Enhancing the effectiveness of satellite precipitation products with topographic and seasonal bias correction
    (Elsevier B.V., 2026-02) Wanniarachchi, S; Sarukkalige, R; Hapuarachchi, H.A. P; Gomes, P.I.A; Rathnayake, U
    Estimating precipitation distribution across large regions is crucial for understanding water availability, planning infrastructure, and forecasting flood hazards. Traditional gauge-based methods face challenges, particularly with sparse gauge networks. In response, satellite-based, near-real-time (NRT) precipitation data has gained popularity, especially in poorly gauged watersheds. However, satellite precipitation data quality is often compromised by latency, atmospheric complexities, and topographic effects, resulting in nonlinear errors. To overcome the research gap, this study introduces the Heavy Rain Peak Adjustment (HRPA) method alongside the well-established Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model for satellite precipitation bias correction. The analysis utilised Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP-NRT) data and hourly precipitation records from 31 rain gauges in the Ovens River region of Australia. On average, the mean residual of observed and GSMaP-NRT precipitation was −0.02 mm. Additionally, the HRPA method yielded better linear regression R2(0.911), NSE (log) (−0.847), and RMSE (0.628) compared to SARIMA. The results indicate that HRPA outperforms SARIMA, particularly at lower elevations, whereas SARIMA struggles at higher elevations, underscoring its limitations in those areas. Additionally, autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation plots for some stations in hilly areas show significant wave-like patterns, indicating greater uncertainty in satellite precipitation estimates over complex terrain. For several stations, autocorrelations at 24 and 48-hour lags suggest a systematic influence of past residuals on future ones, emphasizing the need for further refinement in satellite precipitation correction methods for these regions.
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    PublicationEmbargo
    Relationships amongst water and sediment qualities, discharge, and allochthonous inputs of intermittent streams in tropical dry climates: Implications on stream management
    (Elsevier, 2023-07-19) Gomes, P.I.A; Perera, M.D.D
    The interrelationships amongst water and sediment physicochemistry, catchment hydrology, and allochthonous inputs are not well established for intermittent streams, especially in tropical climates. This remains a major concern in water resources management, and understanding these streams is vital in forming targeted frameworks for protection. A two-year comprehensive study showed spatially independent water quality variations, where similar temporal patterns were observed in different streams in close catchments for many variables (such as for electrical conductivity, pH, nitrogen species, and dissolved oxygen). This was not the case for sediment quality variables; in addition, in-stream variation was high. This gave an indication of the regulatory potential of intermittent stream sediment. Redundancy analysis models showed that stream water quality was significantly correlated to, and could be explained by discharge, rainfall parameters, litter, and sediment quality. Sediment quality was not influenced by litter inputs but by discharge and rainfall-related parameters. The study reported new insights into the unique physicochemistry of intermittent streams and proposes the fact that sediment quality needs comprehensive monitoring and management both spatially and temporally.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Evaluating expressway traffic crash severity by using logistic regression and explainable & supervised machine learning classifiers
    (Elsevier, 2023-07-09) Shashiprabha, M.J.P.S; Kelum, S.R.M; Meddage, D.P.P; Pasindu, H.R; Gomes, P.I.A
    The number of expressway road accidents in Sri Lanka has significantly increased (by 20%) due to the expansion of the transport network and high traffic volume. It is crucial to identify the causes of these crashes for effective road safety management. However, traditional statistical methods may be insufficient due to their inherent assumptions. This study utilized explainable machine learning to investigate the factors that affect the severity of traffic crashes on expressways. The study evaluated two groups of traffic crashes: fatal or severe crashes, and other crashes that included non-severe injuries or only property damage. Five factors that contribute to crashes were analyzed: road surface condition, road alignment, location, weather condition, and lighting effect. Four machine learning models (Random Forest (RF), Decision Tree (DT), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN)) were developed and compared with Logistic Regression (LR) using 223 training and 56 testing data instances. The study revealed that the machine learning algorithms provided more accurate predictions than the LR model. To explain the machine learning models, Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) were used. These methods revealed that all five features decreased the possibility of occurrence of fatal accidents. SHAP and LIME explanations confirmed the known interactions between factors influencing crash severity in expressway operational conditions. These explanations increase the trust of end-users and domain experts on machine learning models. Furthermore, the study concluded that using explainable machine learning methods is more effective than traditional regression analysis in evaluating safety performance. Additionally, the results of the study can be utilized to improve road safety by providing accurate explanations for decision-making processes for black-box models. © 2023