Predictive Modeling for Identifying Early Warning Signs of Underperformance in Vocational Education

Abstract

This study focuses on developing a predictive modeling system to identify early signs of underperformance in vocational education, critical for building a skilled workforce. Addressing challenges like high dropout rates and inadequate graduate preparedness, the system utilizes machine learning techniques such as Neural Networks, Decision Trees, and Logistic Regression. Implemented in Python, it analyzes key features like academic records, attendance, engagement, and socioeconomic factors. Preprocessing steps, such as data cleaning and feature engineering, were implemented, and transfer learning was employed to adapt the model. This combination of feature engineering and transfer learning enables the transfer of knowledge from academic settings to vocational education by identifying and leveraging shared characteristics between the two domains. The system provides real time insights through automated reports and notifications, enabling targeted interventions to improve retention and graduation rates. This scalable approach advances educational technology and informs policies to enhance vocational education outcomes.