Research Papers - Dept of Information Technology
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Publication Embargo Comparison of ARIMA and LSTM in Forecasting the Retail Prices of Vegetables in Colombo, Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2022-12-09) Fonseka, D.D; Karunasena, AIdentification of vegetable price trends is important to make better decisions in the production and market. Due to several factors, including seasonality, perishability, an imbalanced supply-demand market, customer choice, and the availability of raw materials, vegetable prices fluctuate quickly and are highly unstable. In this study price prediction was concluded using two models ARIMA and LSTM with retail price data for Cabbage, Carrot, and Green beans in Colombo from 2009 to 2018. According to the decision criteria of RMSE and MAPE, the LSTM model is superior to the ARIMA model in predicting the retail prices of vegetables. There were no studies have focused on predicting prices with novel technology in the Sri Lankan vegetable market. Hence the results of this study can be used to build an advanced forecasting model by the government and decision-makers in agriculture in Sri Lanka.Publication Embargo System to Improve the Quality of Water Resources in Sri Lanka Using Machine Learning and Image Processing(IEEE, 2022-12-09) Liyanage, M. H. S; Gajanayake, G.M.B. S; Wijewickrama, O; Fernando A, S.D.S. A; Wijendra, D; Gamage, A. IWater covers approximately 71% of the earth’s surface, but only 1.2% of it can be used for drinking. However, due to the amount of waste water released into water resources, the presence of harmful microorganisms, and natural occurrences such as eutrophication, even that water cannot be used directly for drinking purposes without purification. One method of purifying water is chlorination. However, if the chlorine level exceeds the standard, it can cause both long-term and short-term illnesses. As a result, a system is imposed to solve four problems: predicting the pH value of chlorinated drinking water, determining the quantification value of active sludge in a wastewater plant, detecting microorganisms in drinking water, and predicting the percentage of eutrophication in a water resource.Publication Embargo Machine Learning Based Solution for Improving the Efficiency of Sugar Production in Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2022-12-26) Kulasekara, S; Kumarasiri, K; Sirimanna, T; Dissanayake, D; Karunasena, A; Pemadasa, NAlthough sugar is a popularly used commodity in Sri Lanka, sugar manufactured within the country fulfill only a very small portion of the demanded amount. Sugar production is an intricate process which requires a considerable amount of expertise especially in the areas of cultivation, production and revenue prediction which may not exist in novice farmers. This research proposes a methodology which provides novice sugarcane farmers with expert knowledge on four main areas related to farming including weather forecast, sugarcane maturity estimation, production forecast and prediction of return sugarcane amounts from lands. ARIMA model is used for weather forecast whereas machine learning methods and multiple regression models were used for sugarcane maturity estimation and production of forecasts and returns respectively. The final ARIMA time series model was validated with p-value greater than 0.05 for Ljung-Box test with three different lag values. The Support Vector Machines model was identified as the best model with an accuracy of 81.19% for the sugarcane maturity estimation. The SVM model was trained using the HSV and texture features extracted from sugarcane stalk images using image processing techniques. The prediction of sugar production received a testing R-squared score of 87.75% and mean squared error of 0. Prediction of yield received a mean squared error of approximately 0 and R squared score of 98% on test data. The methodology used in this research could be used by novice farmers to increase their cultivation as well as sugar production.Publication Embargo Impact Analysis of US Dollar Index Volatility on Imports and Import Categories of Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2018-07-31) Sahabandu, R. V; Asanka, P. P. G. DThe economic liberation in 1977 resulted in drastic changes in many aspects of Sri Lanka. Considering about 1978-2015, the country yearly import demand represents over 30% share of the gross domestic product (GDP) except 1984, 2009, 2010, 2013-2015. Investigations and the studies on a countries' imports are surprisingly overlooked as there are several studies being carried out focusing only the aggregated export volume concerning the exchange rate volatility. The monthly data of Sri Lanka imports, import categories and monthly US Dollar (USD) volatility from January 2007-December 2016 were used for the analysis. This study tries to learn the impact of US Dollar Index (USDX) volatility on import demand of Sri Lanka. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach is employed to learn long-term and short-term cointegration among the underlying variables. There exists a 95% statistically significant short-run relationship and it is identified that the import categories, Consumer Goods (CG), Intermediate Goods (IG), Investment Goods (INV), Unclassified Items (UI), None-Oil Imports (NO) have a speed of adjustment to the equilibrium (SAE) in the long-run of 17%, 36%, 23%, 23%, 25% respectively. The total imports reveal that the disequilibrium conditions will be resolved by 27% within a period of one month that is shocked due to the USDX volatility. Knowledge of the relationship between USDX fluctuation, exchange rate volatility and import volume will support to pursuit for a beneficial trade and prevent or be prepared for a much more stable situation within Sri Lanka.Publication Open Access Diagnosing autism in low‐income countries: Clinical record‐based analysis in Sri Lanka(Wily, 2022-06-16) Samarasinghe, P; Wickramarachchi, C; Peiris, H; Vance, P; Dahanayake, D. M. A.; Kulasekara, V; Nadeeshani, MUse of autism diagnosing standards in low-income countries (LICs) are restricted due to the high price and unavailability of trained health professionals. Furthermore, these standards are heavily skewed towards developed countries and LICs are underrepresented. Due to such constraints, many LICs use their own ways of assessing autism. This is the first retrospective study to analyze such local practices in Sri Lanka. The study was conducted at Ward 19B of Lady Ridgeway Hospital (LRH) using the clinical forms filled for diagnosing ASD. In this study, 356 records were analyzed, from which 79.5% were boys and the median age was 33 months. For each child, the clinical form together with the Childhood Autism Rating Scale (CARS) value were recorded. In this study, a Clinically Derived Autism Score (CDAS) is obtained from the clinical forms. Scatter plot and Pearson product moment correlation coefficient were used to benchmark CDAS with CARS, and it was found CDAS to be positively and moderately correlated with CARS. In identifying the significant variables, a logistic regression model was built based on clinically observed data and it evidenced that “Eye Contact,” “Interaction with Others,” “Pointing,” “Flapping of Hands,” “Request for Needs,” “Rotate Wheels,” and “Line up Things” variables as the most significant variables in diagnosing autism. Based on these significant predictors, the classification tree was built. The pruned tree depicts a set of rules, which could be used in similar clinical environments to screen for autism.Publication Embargo User-friendly Enhanced Machine Learning-based Railway Management System for Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2021-12-06) Mihiranga, G.L.V; Weerasooriya, W. K. M; Palliyaguruge, T. L. P; Gunasekera, P. N. G; Gamage, M. P; Kumari, S. P. KThe railway service is a convenient and low-cost transport method in Sri Lanka, widely employed by both local and foreign passengers. Major railway lines in Sri Lanka cover unique and very different areas in the country. For example, the Northern province's weather and geography conditions significantly differ from Southern or Central provinces. Majority of the tourists lack understanding in identifying appropriate or attractive places that best suits them, close by to the Railway Stations. Therefore, a passenger needs to spend more time identifying their railway tour destinations. When passengers are booking tickets, even though they are able to reserve seats beforehand, they are unable to reserve a specific seat. Also, there is no process to identify the most suitable seat for them amidst many other travelers, especially if they are travelling alone. Considering the aforementioned, authors propose a more innovative and user-friendly system for the Railway Department of Sri Lanka. Depending on various passenger attributes the system is capable of suggesting a travel plan with railway lines which cover most suitable destination suggestions; identifying the best seats with a relaxing atmosphere; providing an interactive chatbot to satisfy user queries on specific location information; and facility for 24×7 user interaction. A travel plan can save passengers time and allows them to identify the desired railway line and relevant attractions without much hassle. And they are saved of an unpleasant experience through the suggestion of the best seating location. Machine Learning and Deep Learning technologies are used in developing the proposed system.Publication Open Access Design and Implementation of Data Warehouse for a Higher Educational Institute in Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2021-04) Serasinghe, C. U; Jayakody, C; Dayananda, K. T. M. N; Dinesh Asanka, P. P. GIn any organization, the leadership is responsible for taking decisions that will lift the said organization to a better place. The problem-solving abilities of the management are mostly depending on the ability to grasp all the required information in a clean and actionable format. Building a well-designed data warehouse leads to answer that problem. When data sourced from different sourcing systems, it's very important that the aggregated data is relevant and supporting the decision-making by the leadership. This study aims at mitigating the issues that are hindering such organizations to make correct decisions.Publication Embargo ATHWEL: Gamification Supportive Tool for Special Educational Centers in Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2019-12-19) Kiriwaththage, P. N; Morawaka, ALearning Disability is a neurologically-based problem which involves in learning basic skills such as reading, writing and math. Intellectual Disability is characterized by below-average intelligence. Children with Intellectual Disability can do and learn new skills, but they learn them more slowly than average children of their age. Game-based learning is an effective way of getting learners actively involved in educational activities. Educating children with Intellectual Disability is a challenging process. They usually learn and progress more slowly than average children. Such children may have issues with motivation and interest in education; the use of Gamification approach becomes important as a motivational and interested affordance. A prototype desktop Gamification Supportive Tool called “ATHWELA” is proposed which operates through Assistive Technology. Assistive technology can be a device or a service that is used to increase, maintain, or improve functional capabilities of individuals with disabilities. Children with Intellectual Disability can be less interested in Mathematics, some can be not good in reading and some can be not good in writing. ATHWELA is targeting at increasing, maintaining, or improving these three points and ATHWELA can be used in special education classrooms as a tool of gratification and extrinsic motivation. Points and rewards will be presented as the motivational technique. The main objective of our research is to help children with Intellectual Disability with their primary educational skills with less effort and in an interactive way and this prototype desktop application is developed in the Sinhala language because the Sinhala is the mother-tongue of Sri Lanka. In addition, it has used Machine Learning and Image Processing techniques to improve the educational skills of children with Intellectual Disability.Publication Embargo Use of utility based interestingness measures to predict the academic performance of technology learners in Sri Lanka(IEEE, 2018-08-08) Kasthuriarachchi, K. T. S; Liyanage, S. RKnowledge extracted from educational data can be used by the educators to obtain insights about how the quality of teaching and learning must be improved, how the factors a □ ect the performance of the students and how qualified students can be trained for the industry requirements. This research focuses on classifying a knowledge based system using a set of rules. The main purpose of the study is to analyse the most influencing attributes of the students for their module performance in tertiary education in Sri Lanka. The study has gathered data about students in a reputed degree awarding institute in Sri Lanka and used three different data mining algorithms to predict the influential factors and they have been evaluated for interestingness using objective oriented utility based method. The findings of this study will positively a □ ect the future decisions about the progress of the students' performance, quality of the education process and the future of the education provider.Publication Open Access New record of Tricondyla gounellii Horn 1900 (Coleoptera, Cicindelinae), an arboreal tiger beetle from Sri Lanka(: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/336107511, 2019-09) Abeywardhana, L; Dangalle, C; Mallawarachchi, YArboreal tiger beetles belong to tribe Collyridini of order Coleoptera, family Carabidae, subfamily Cicindelinae and can be found predominantly in the tropical and subtropical regions of Asian countries mainly in forest habitat types (Toki et al., 2017). Tribe Collyridini is divided in to five genera - Collyris, Neocollyris, Protocollyris, Derocrania and Tricondyla. According to records provided by Fowler (1912) from his studies in the Fauna of British India’ five species of genus Tricondyla reside in Sri Lanka - Tricondyla femorata , Tricondyla tumidula , Tricondyla coriacea , Tricondyla nigripalpis , Tricondyla granulifera ). Three of these species, T. coriacea, T. nigripalpis, T. granulifera are endemic to the country, while the other two species also reside in India. However, the sources of this information is far outdated and unreliable and requires current investigations and revision. Thus, the present study was conducted to investigate the current species of arboreal tiger beetles of Sri Lanka, their morphology, locations, habitats and habitat preferences.