Research Papers - Department of Civil Engineering

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://rda.sliit.lk/handle/123456789/598

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Author: search.filters.author.Rathnayake, U. SSubject: search.filters.subject.Climate variability

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    PublicationOpen Access
    Recent Climatic Trends In Trinidad And Tobago, West Indies
    (Research and Technology Transfer Affairs Division,, 2020-02) Perera, A; Mudannyake, S; Azamathulla, H; Rathnayake, U. S
    Seawater level rise is one of the most prevalent adverse environmental impacts of the ongoing global warming process. Island nations are more vulnerable to the impact than the land masses. Two such islands impacted by global warming are Trinidad and Tobago, located in the Atlantic Ocean. However, there is minimal related research in this area in the context of the impact of climate variability. Therefore, it is timely and interesting to assess the climatic trends in islands that are extremely vulnerable like Trinidad and Tobago. This paper presents a detailed non-parametric statistical analysis for well-known climate gauges in Trinidad and Tobago, West Indies. Mann Kendall and Sen’s slope tests were carried out on two identified rain gauges in Trinidad and Tobago. Monthly climatic data including cumulative rainfall and the average of the minimum and maximum atmospheric temperatures were processed to identify the trend analysis using the above stated non-parametric tests. Important results are found from the analysis; most importantly, there is no significant impact on the rainfall in the area due to the climate variability over 30 years. However, the atmospheric temperature behaves in a different way and it has a rising pattern across the total 12 months studied. This can be seen for both the minimum and maximum atmospheric temperatures. Therefore, the warm months are becoming warmer and the cold months are becoming less cold. This is a critical finding that must be considered for any future planning processes.
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    PublicationEmbargo
    Impact of climate variability on hydropower generation: A case study from Sri Lanka
    (Taylor & Francis Group, 2018-06-18) Khaniya, B.; Priyantha, H. G; Baduge, N; Azamathulla, H. M; Rathnayake, U. S
    Hydropower accounts for 16.4% of world’s electricity demand. The key element in hydropower generation is the runoff and this runoff totally depends on the precipitation. However, the future climate is predicted to be debatable and can severely affect the water resources around the world. Therefore, a critical question to answer by the research community is, what would be the impact of climate change/variability on hydropower development? Hence, this paper aims to study the impingement of climate change on hydropower generation for Denawaka Ganga mini-hydropower located in Ratnapura district, Sri Lanka. Multi-year rainfall trend analysis for 30 years along with power generation trend study for 6 years have been carried out to evaluate the performance of the hydropower station under possible shifting precipitation pattern. Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator tests were used to culminate the trend analysis. Seasonal and monthly trend analysis did not render negative trends (except one rain gauge) in rainfall. However, positive rainfall trends were found in several rain gauging stations for several months. Power generation trend study showcased a decreasing trend in electricity generation for January and November. Nevertheless, the results elucidate that the catchment area is not under an intense threat due to the climate variability.