Research Publications

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    Predictive Policing with Neural Networks: A Big Data Approach to Crime Forecasting in Sri Lanka
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2025) Nauzad, H; Dayawansa, D; Dias, N.Y; Haddela, P.S; Ratnayake, S
    The surge in crime rates, particularly in urban regions, has underscored the importance of predictive policing within law enforcement strategies. This research introduces a neural network-based crime prediction model, specifically tailored to address the complexities of Sri Lanka's crime landscape. By combining big data analytics with advanced machine learning methods - including ensemble models such as Random Forest and Gradient Boosting, alongside Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) - our study presents a robust framework to forecast crime incidents, locations, and time spans. While neural networks excel in predictive accuracy, their "black-box"nature can hinder practical applications in critical fields like law enforcement. To address this, our model integrates Explainable AI (XAI), making the decision-making process of the system transparent and interpretable for end-users. XAI helps break down complex neural network predictions, ensuring trust and clarity in the model's insights. With a prediction accuracy rate of 85%, this approach demonstrates substantial potential to improve crime prevention efforts and optimize resource allocation. Our research not only highlights the predictive strengths of neural networks but also showcases the essential role of interpretability for deploying these models effectively in real-world policing.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Predicting adhesion strength of micropatterned surfaces using gradient boosting models and explainable artificial intelligence visualizations
    (Elsevier, 2023-06-27) Ekanayake, I.U; Palitha, S; Gamage, S; Meddage, D.P.P.; Wijesooriya, K; Mohotti, D
    Fibrillar dry adhesives are widely used due to their effectiveness in air and vacuum conditions. However, their performance depends on various factors. Previous studies have proposed analytical methods to predict adhesion strength on micro-patterned surfaces. However, the method lacks interpretation on which parameters are critical. This research utilizes gradient-boosting machine learning (ML) algorithms to accurately predict adhesion strength. Additionally, explainable machine learning (XML) methods are employed to interpret the underlying reasoning behind the predictions. The analysis demonstrates that gradient boosting models achieve a high correlation coefficient (R > 0.95) in accurately predicting pull-off force on micro-patterned surfaces. The use of XML methods provides insights into the importance of features, their interactions, and their contributions to specific predictions. This novel, explainable, and data-driven approach holds potential for real-time applications, aiding in the identification of critical features that govern the performance of fibrillar adhesives. Furthermore, it improves end-users’ confidence by offering human-comprehensible explanations and facilitates understanding among non-technical audiences