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Publication Open Access The Assessment of Climate Change Impacts and Land-use Changes on Flood Characteristics: The Case Study of the Kelani River Basin, Sri Lanka(MDPI, 2022-10-09) Samarasinghe, J. T; Makumbura, R. K; Wickramarachchi, C; Sirisena, J; Gunathilake, M.B; Muttil, N; Yenn Teo, F; Rathnayake, UUnderstanding the changes in climate and land use/land cover (LULC) over time is important for developing policies for minimizing the socio-economic impacts of riverine floods. The present study evaluates the influence of hydro-climatic factors and anthropogenic practices related to LULC on floods in the Kelani River Basin (KRB) in Sri Lanka. The gauge-based daily precipitation, monthly mean temperature, daily discharges, and water levels at sub-basin/basin outlets, and both surveyed and remotely sensed inundation areas were used for this analysis. Flood characteristics in terms of mean, maximum, and number of peaks were estimated by applying the peak over threshold (POT) method. Nonparametric tests were also used to identify the climatic trends. In addition, LULC maps were generated over the years 1988–2017 using Landsat images. It is observed that the flood intensities and frequencies in the KRB have increased over the years. However, Deraniyagala and Norwood sub-basins have converted to dry due to the decrease in precipitation, whereas Kithulgala, Holombuwa, Glencourse, and Hanwella showed an increase in precipitation. A significant variation in atmospheric temperature was not observed. Furthermore, the LULC has mostly changed from vegetation/barren land to built-up in many parts of the basin. Simple correlation and partial correlation analysis showed that flood frequency and inundation areas have a significant correlation with LULC and hydro-climatic factors, especially precipitation over time. The results of this research will therefore be useful for policy makers and environmental specialists to understand the relationship of flood frequencies with the anthropogenic influences on LULC and climatic factors.Publication Embargo Tree colonization trends on a sediment bar after a major flood(John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., 2011-10) Asaeda, T; Gomes, P. I. A; Sakamoto, K; Rashid, M. HTree mortality and regeneration in riparian areas are greatly influenced by flooding. The elevational distribution of Salix spp. and Robinia pseudoacacia were investigated by observing densities and standing conditions before and after a major flood on a sediment bar in the middle reaches of the Arakawa River in Kumagaya, Japan. The subsequent tree recruitment was also examined. R. pseudoacacia was easily washed away with the eroded sediment, whereas Salix spp. was found to be more tolerant. Both species were able to survive even after collapsing, provided that their roots were fully or partially embedded in the sediment. Re-shooting of collapsed trees, rather than emergence from saplings (either by seeds or vegetative fragments), was observed to be the major method of recruitment after the flood. Therefore, tree density before the flood was unchanged, unless the trees were subject to washing away. Salix spp. recruitment was mainly observed in low-lying areas and R. pseudoacacia in elevated areas. Recruitment from saplings was species-specific. Salix spp. at high elevations originated mainly from shoot fragments as they need high levels of moisture for seed germination and at higher elevations, sediment moisture content is very low. R. pseudoacacia, on other hand, originated mainly from roots and seeds. At a given elevation, past recruitment patterns indicated that the annual recruitment of trees increased with tree density up to a particular threshold of recruitment density. Further increases in tree density beyond that optimum value resulted in a decline in recruitment. Furthermore, threshold density was observed to increase along with elevation for R. pseudoacacia while declining with Salix spp. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.Publication Open Access Flood modeling in the Mahaweli River reach from Kothmale to Polgolla(University of Peradeniya, 2007) Rathnayake, U. S; Weerakoon, S. B; Nandalal, K. D. W; Rathnayake, UThe occurrence of floods and inundation of the low lands adjacent to the Mahaweli River reach from Gampola to Polgolla were very frequent prior to the Kotmale reservoir project in mid 1980s. However, during last two decades with the construction of the Kotmale dam, the regulation of flow by the reservoir has reduced the inundation risk of these lands, which were vulnerable to frequent flooding. As a result, these lands are developed at an increasing rate and more people have started to live in them. This fact gives an alarming signal to the authorities, as the damage that might be caused due to an extreme flood event could be significant. It is therefore of paramount importance that comprehensive flood modeling and inundation analysis of the Mahaweli River reach between Kotmale and Polgolla is carried out. This paper presents the flood modeling and inundation analysis in the Mahaweli river reach from the Kotmale dam to Polgolla barrage using the HECRAS model. The HECRAS model was set up for the river reach using the river cross-sections at 200 m intervals from Kotmale dam to Polgolla barrage. The model was applied to estimate the water stages along the river reach for the floods of different return periods. Though the Kotmale reservoir acts as a flood control reservoir for floods of medium return periods, it becomes ineffective to reduce the flood levels in the downstream flood plains due to floods of high return periods when it has to release high discharge. Inundation areas in the downstream of the dam due to several flood discharges are presented.
