Research Papers - Department of Mechanical Engineering

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    PublicationOpen Access
    Forecasting renewable energy for microgrids using machine learning
    (Springer Nature, 2025-05-03) Sudasinghe, P; Herath, D; Karunarathne, I; Weeratunge, H; Jayasuriya, L
    Microgrids, comprised of interconnected loads and distributed energy resources, function as single controllable entities with respect to the main grid. However, the inherent variability of distributed wind and solar generation within microgrids presents operational stability challenges concerning voltage regulation and frequency stability. Accurate forecasting of renewable generation is crucial for mitigating these challenges. This work proposes a one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1-D CNN) based approach to forecast photovoltaic (PV) generation and wind energy, using data from the University of California, San Diego microgrid and San Diego Airport weather records. The proposed method is evaluated against various forecasting methods using key metrics: Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and R-squared value. Results show that the 1-D CNN model achieves an improvement of up to 229.8 times in MSE and a 24.47 fold improvement in MAE compared to baseline models that use traditional statistical methods in forecasting. This demonstrates the potential of machine learning for enhancing microgrid management, particularly in short-term forecasting of renewable generation. © The Author(s) 2025. Evaluated ML-based renewable energy forecasting models by implementing 1-D CNN and LSTM models using real-world data. Proposed 1-D CNN performs better than LSTM and baseline models, achieving higher accuracy and computational efficiency. Accurate forecasting of PV and wind energy generation enhances grid stability, reduces backup power dependency, and supports sustainable energy integration.
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    PublicationEmbargo
    Machine learning based classification of ripening and decay stages of Mango (Mangifera indica L.) cv. Tom EJC
    (IEEE, 2022-06-21) Hippola, H. M. W. M; WaduMesthri, D. P; Rajakaruna, R. M. T. P; Yasakethu, L; Rajapaksha, M
    om EJC is a variety of Mango grown in tropical countries like Sri Lanka and India which has a very large demand and hence expensive. From the early stage of ripening, until the senescence stage, the process takes around 10–14 days. The fruit shows a yellowish color starting from the very early stage of ripening, throughout the period until it reaches the senescence stage. Unlike the other Mango varieties, it is difficult for a regular customer to determine the stage of ripening of the Tom EJC fruit, by observation. This paper focuses towards developing a vision-based classifier to rapidly identify ripening and decay stages of Tom EJC mango using surface image captures. A dataset of Tom EJC mango images was collated at different maturity levels. A Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) is proposed and tested using over 6000 Tom EJC images. The proposed model is shown to have a 76% testing accuracy in identifying four stages of maturity.