2020
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Publication Open Access Comparative Analysis of Deep Learning Models for Multi-Step Prediction of Financial Time Series(researchgate.net, 2020-10-21) Aryal, S; Nadarajah, D; Rupasinghe, P.L; Jayawardena, C; Kasthurirathna, DFinancial time series prediction has been a key topic of interest among researchers considering the complexity of the domain and also due to its significant impact on a wide range of applications. In contrast to one-step ahead prediction, multi-step forecasting is more desirable in the industry but the task is more challenging. In recent days, advancement in deep learning has shown impressive accomplishments across various tasks including sequence learning and time series forecasting. Although most previous studies are focused on applications of deep learning models for single-step ahead prediction, multi-step financial time series forecasting has not been explored exhaustively. This paper aims at extensively evaluating the performance of various state-of-the-art deep learning models for multiple multi-steps ahead prediction horizons on real-world stock and forex markets dataset. Specifically, we focus on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network and its variations, Encoder-Decoder based sequence to sequence models, Temporal Convolution Network (TCN), hybrid Exponential SmoothingRecurrent Neural Networks (ES-RNN) and Neural Basis Expansion Analysis for interpretable Time Series forecasting (N-BEATS). Experimental results show that the latest deep learning models such as NBEATS, ES-LSTM and TCN produced better results for all stock market related datasets by obtaining around 50% less Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) scores for each prediction horizon as compared to other models. However, the conventional LSTM-based models still prove to be dominant in the forex domain by comparatively achieving around 2% less error values.Publication Embargo Arogya -An Intelligent Ayurvedic Herb Management Platform(IEEE, 2020-11-04) Pathiranage, N; Nilfa, N; Nithmali, M; Kumari, N; Weerasinghe, L; Weerathunga, IAyurvedic means a science of life and well-being with its unique approaches to social and spiritual life. Especially in Sri Lanka we have our own set of rare Ayurvedic herbs which have been utilized by generations as medicinal treatments for a variety of diseases. Absence of specialists in this area makes proper identification as well as classification of valuable herbal plants a tedious task, which is essential for better treatment. Hence, a fully automated system for herb detection and classification, information visualization regarding them is highly desirable. There are existing applications which can identify plants with low prediction accuracies, as well as to give information regarding them. However, these applications are based on foreign plant data sets that do not include valuable herbs and shrubs with medicinal qualities. Hence this research proposes an application unique to medicinal plants, which can perform all these functionalities in both online and offline approach. Here, a new Ayurvedic plant dataset prepared from scratch, and preliminary results for classification of 5 types of herbs, compared with several deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models based on transfer learning are presented. Experimental results indicate Marker-based Watershed algorithm as the best object detection algorithm in a complex background, VGG-16 as the best deep CNN classification model which reached a promising testing accuracy of 99.53%, and Seq2Seq LSTM model as the best deep learning model with optimum accuracy in abstractive information summarization.Publication Embargo Aerodynamic modeling of simplified wind turbine rotors targeting small-scale applications in Sri Lanka(Elsevier, 2020-09-11) Sugathapala, T. M; Boteju, S; Withanage, P. B; Wijewardane, SA design and optimization procedure of simplified wind turbine rotors for small-scale applications is presented. The need for this research has arisen from the recent national initiative of the government of Sri Lanka titled ‘Battle for Wind Energy’ in promoting small scale grid connected wind plants for electricity customers under Net Metering scheme. The main objective of this research is to assist local developers to design optimum rotors for given electrical generators (as determined by customer requirements), suitable for wind characteristics at specific locations. Another objective is to enhance local manufacturing capabilities by providing a design option of a simplified rotor blade geometry. A study on the correlation between population density of electricity customers and wind energy potentials was carried out to categorize the demand centres based on wind energy potentials in proposing series of small-scale wind turbine designs. A unique and improved rotor design procedure is presented which attempts to match the point of maximum performance of a rotor (design tip speed ratio) with the design wind speed of a given location by considering generator performance. The new design procedure showed successful convergence on a unique blade diameter for each rotor configuration that allowed the design tip speed ratio to match the design wind speed. The performance evaluation of rotor designs showed that high solidity rotors work better on the low wind potential region while low solidity rotors dominate medium and high wind potential regions. The performance reductions of simplified rotor designs are not significant and therefore would be an effective way to enhance value addition through local manufacture.Publication Embargo Comparative analysis of the application of Deep Learning techniques for Forex Rate prediction(2019 1st International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2019-12-05) Aryal, S.; Nadarajah, D.; Kasthurirathna, D.; Rupasinghe, L.; Jayawardena, C.Forecasting the financial time series is an extensive field of study. Even though the econometric models, traditional machine learning models, artificial neural networks and deep learning models have been used to predict the financial time series, deep learning models have been recently employed to do predictions of financial time series. In this paper, three different deep learning models called Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Temporal Convolution Network (TCN) have been used to predict the United States Dollar (USD) to Sri Lankan Rupees (LKR) exchange rate and compared the accuracy of the models. The results indicate the superiority of CNN model over other models. We conclude that CNN based models perform best in financial time series prediction.Publication Embargo VirtualPT: Virtual Reality based Home Care Physiotherapy Rehabilitation for Elderly(2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Heiyanthuduwa, T.A.; Amarapala, K.W.N.U.; Gunathilaka, K.D.V.B.; Ravindu, K.S.; Wickramarathne, J.; Kasthurirathna, D.This paper describes the development of Personal computer based Virtual Reality home-care Physiotherapy system aimed for rehabilitating full body function in elders. VirtualPT is a true virtual reality platform where the environment is completely replaced by a virtual reality platform based on the mental condition of the person at the time. While doing the home-based prescribed physiotherapy exercises, the key health metrics are continuously monitored and tracked by combining the immersive Virtual Reality with the wearable VirtualPT Sensor kit. Virtual Reality combined with 3D motion capture lets real time movements to be accurately translated onto the virtual reality avatar that can be viewed in a virtual environment to assist physiotherapist to add exercises to the system easily. This ultimate virtual reality Physiotherapy assistant avatar is used to provide guidance to elders at home, to demonstrate and assist elders in adhering to the prescribed exercises. As a significant aspect of social interactions, mirroring of movements has been added to focus on whether the elder is able to accurately follow the movements of avatar. Furthermore, the insightful dashboard offers the elders and physiotherapists an interactive platform through virtual reality capabilities. VirtualPT physiotherapy system is cost effective and makes recovery and more convenient to elders at home while the participatory and immersive nature of Virtual Reality offers a unique realistic quality that is not generally existing in clinical-based physiotherapy. When looking at the broader concept of VirtualPT; continuity of care, integration of services, quality of life and access are equally important criteria which add more value.Publication Open Access Utalk: Sri Lankan Sign Language Converter Mobile App using Image Processing and Machine Learning(2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Dissanayake, I.S.M.; Wickramanayake, P.J.; Mudunkotuwa, M.A.S; Fernando, P.W.N.Deaf and mute people face various difficulties in daily activities due to the communication barrier caused by the lack of Sign Language knowledge in the society. Many researches have attempted to mitigate this barrier using Computer Vision based techniques to interpret signs and express them in natural language, empowering deaf and mute people to communicate with hearing people easily. However, most of such researches focus only on interpreting static signs and understanding dynamic signs is not well explored. Understanding dynamic visual content (videos) and translating them into natural language is a challenging problem. Further, because of the differences in sign languages, a system developed for one sign language cannot be directly used to understand another sign language, e.g., a system developed for American Sign Language cannot be used to interpret Sri Lankan Sign Language. In this study, we develop a system called Utalk to interpret static as well as dynamic signs expressed in Sri Lankan Sign Language. The proposed system utilizes Computer Vision and Machine Learning techniques to interpret sings performed by deaf and mute people. Utalk is a mobile application, hence it is non-intrusive and cost-effective. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the our system using a newly collected dataset.Publication Embargo Smart Intelligent Advisory Agent for Farming Community(2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Illandara, T.S.; De Silva, H.L.H.; Madurawala, K.S.H.; Dayasena, B.R.D.; Srimath, U.; Samaratunge Arachchillage, S.; Buddhika, T.The currently available agricultural services have few limitations because of the traditional cultivation methods and the unavailability of experts. This research attempts to solve the major problems faced by farmers using an Intelligent Expert Advisory Agent (EAA) that would act as a human counterpart to provide reliable solutions in real-time to the farmers using Machine Learning (ML), Image Processing (IP), and Internet of Things (IoT) technologies. A web application is developed to provide meaningful information to the user by representing agriculture instructors. Using the web application, the farmer can obtain information about predicted weather up to two months. Once the crop is selected, suitable organic fertilizers are suggested to maximize the productivity of the cultivation. After planting, the farmer can continuously monitor the condition of the plants in real-time using the IoT system. Based on this information, the farmer can check if the conditions are optimum for the growth of the plant by interacting with the knowledge base system. If the plants get infected with diseases, the user can capture an image of the diseased plant using the implemented mobile application and send to the IP system to identify the diseases and suggests remedies to overcome the situation.Publication Embargo Smart Backpack for Travelers(2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Gunarathne, P.D.R.P.; Amarasuriya, R.M.C.I.; Wickramasinghe, W.A.D.D.; Witharana, A.H.T.N.; Abeygunawardhana, P.K.W.Smart backpack is an application-specific design which guarantees a safe journey for travelers. The smart backpack has a different combination of services connected to a single system. It has a unique design that helps to fulfill its services. The system provides the health status of travelers and environmental status by measuring the quality level of the nearby atmosphere. As a security feature, it contains a human detective sensor-based security system. As well as the research consists of an undying power resource which charges by solar cells, the power source can be used to power up the system and to recharge traveler's devices through a USB power outlet. The Backpack has a user-friendly mobile application. This system also provides a health monitoring feature, which monitors the heart rate and body temperature of the traveler. The traveler can share his/her health status with the system and compute the real-time health condition from the outputs of the health sensors integrated into the backpack. The bag model design and building play a major role and has removable unique mini compartments for all hardware components. It should carry maximum weight with minimum pressure for the back of the traveler with minimum cost.Publication Embargo Sinhala Conversational Interface for Appointment Management and Medical Advice(2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Rajapakshe, D. D. S.; Kudawithana, K. N. B.; Uswatte, U. L. N. P.; Nishshanka, N. A. B. D.; Piyawardana, A. V. S.; Pulasinghe, K. N.This paper proposes an intelligent conversational user interface to assist Sinhala speaking users to make appointments with doctors and to obtain medical advices. This Sinhala Conversational Interface for Appointment Management and Medical Advice (SCI-AMMA) consists of Speech Recognition unit, Query Processing unit, Dialog Management unit, Voice Synthesizer unit, and User Information Management unit to handle user requests and maintain a meaningful dialogue. The SCI-AMMA gets the users' speech utterances and recognize the language content of it for further processing. Language content is further processed using query processing unit to identify users' intent. To fulfil the users' intent, a reply is generated from Dialogue Management Unit. This reply/answer will be delivered to the user by means of a voice synthesizer. The proposed system is successfully implemented using state of the art technology stack including Flutter, Python, Protégé and Firebase. Performance of the system is demonstrated using several sample scenarios/dialogues.Publication Embargo Secure Messaging Platform Based on Blockchain(2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Ellewala, U. P.; Amarasena, W.D.H.U; Lakmali, H.V.S.; Senanayaka, L.M.K.; Senarathne, A. N.The boundaries between personal and business communications is a key issue faced by most organizations. Use of unsecured and unsafe applications in workplaces pose enormous security risks. Companies are not adequately aware about the applications that are being used in their employees' devices. When it comes to critical business communication involving exchanging trade secrets, making business referrals and strategic business decisions, protecting of messages and shared files becomes a challenge. Most publicly available communication platforms do not empower organizations to regulate, track and scale their communication and does not provide compliance with data protection frameworks, which can result in cross industry system risks. As a result, both individuals and organizations express deep concern about data security and protection of privacy when using Instant Messaging applications. Non-repudiation in communications not only conveys to the user, recognition of the communication process, but it is also a crucial way to establish a relationship of trust and to overcome trust disputes. Our primary objective, through this research, is to develop a chat application with more secure channels of enterprise level communication. Using new technologies such as blockchain, which operate on a decentralized model, we can surmount the drawbacks of traditional messaging applications, thereby ensuring confidentiality, integrity and availability of official data, along with advanced auditing features.