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Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Dynamic linkages between chicken meat production, consumption, income and trade: Evidence from Wavelet coherence and Granger causality in Asia
    (Elsevier Inc., 2026) Silva, Y; Susan, H; Perera, N; Mendis, K; Jayathilaka, R; Dabare, U
    The poultry industry has become one of the fastest-growing agricultural sectors in Asia, driven by rising incomes, and shifting food preferences. Therefore, this study aims to examine the relationship between chicken meat production and key determinants, including chicken meat consumption, gross domestic product, and trade openness, over 30 years (1993-2022) across 28 Asian countries. This study's foundation was based on the theories of consumer demand and international trade. Wavelet coherence and Granger causality analysis were utilised to identify the direction of causality of the variables. The Wavelet results reveal that chicken consumption and GDP become most significant with the production in the Asian continent, while Granger results reveal that most Asian countries showed unidirectional causal flows from trade openness to chicken meat production and from chicken meat production to gross domestic product and consumption. Furthermore, this study provides novel insights that inform policy considerations for policymakers, international and domestic organisations, and governments, aligning with the Sustainable Development Goals established by the United Nations.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Economic and environmental factors influencing beef production in high-income countries: Panel evidence
    (Elsevier B.V., 2026-05-06) Susan, H; Mendis, K; Perera, N; Silva, Y; Jayathilaka, R
    As the global population grows, dietary patterns are shifting towards protein-rich foods, with beef production playing a critical role in balancing food security, economic growth, and environmental sustainability. Among income groups, high-income countries exhibit relatively stable, yet elevated levels of beef production compared to others, warranting focused investigation. This study evaluates the causal effects of beef consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, gross domestic product, and trade openness on beef production across 42 high-income countries from 1993 to 2022. A panel regression model with country-specific fixed effects is employed to control for unobserved heterogeneity, as supported by panel specification tests. Additionally, a simple moving average method is used to forecast short-term trends in beef production for 2023–2026. The findings reveal that there is no significant evidence to claim that there is an effect of beef consumption and gross domestic product on beef production. In contrast, trade openness negatively influences production, while greenhouse gas emissions exhibit a positive effect. Forecast results indicate increasing beef production in countries such as Uruguay, New Zealand, Ireland, Australia, Canada, and the United States. The study offers policy-relevant insights for governments and international organisations in aligning livestock production strategies with Sustainable Development Goals.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Poultry consumption and sustainability: Assessing economic, trade, and climatic impacts across diverse income economies
    (Elsevier Ltd, 2025-10-31) Sammani, I; Yeshini, B; Siriwardhane, S; Pasindu, K; Jayathilaka, R
    Poultry consumption has increased significantly throughout the world, driven by shifts in economic, trade and dietary factors. This study explores the impact of per capita gross domestic product, trade openness, average surface temperature, beef, pork, sheep, goat, and other meat consumption on poultry consumption in the top 10 countries from each income group. Secondary data for 40 countries were incorporated from Our World in Data, from 2000 to 2021. The Panel regression technique was conducted, which applied Pooled ordinary least squares, fixed effect, and random effect models. The findings indicated that per capita gross domestic product and average surface temperature significantly impact poultry consumption. In contrast, trade openness and sheep and goat consumption significantly negatively impact all 40 countries. In high-income countries, trade openness, average surface temperature, and pork consumption have a positive effect, while other meat consumption negatively impacts poultry consumption. Average surface temperature has shown a notable positive impact, whereas trade openness negatively impacts poultry consumption in upper-middle-income countries. Pork consumption has shown a considerable positive impact in lower-middle and low-income countries.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Economic and trade determinants of carbon emissions in the American region
    (Elsevier, 2025-06) Methmini, D; Dharmapriya, N; Edirisinghe, S; Gunawardena, V; Jayathilaka, R; Wickramaarachchi, C; Dharmasena, T
    Balancing economic growth with sustainability has been a significant challenge over the past decades, largely due to the environmental damage caused by carbon emissions. This study investigates the relationship between energy consumption, gross domestic product (GDP), and trade openness and their impact on carbon emissions in 28 countries in the American region from 2000 to 2022. Using a multiple linear regression model for country-level analysis, the findings reveal diverse trends across the region. For instance, countries such as Antigua and Barbuda, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, and Guatemala demonstrate a strong link between economic growth and increased carbon emissions. In contrast, developed nations such as the United States and Canada show signs of decoupling GDP growth from emissions, supporting the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis, which suggests that higher income levels lead to reduced environmental degradation. The study highlights the importance of tailored, country-specific strategies to reduce emissions while promoting sustainable economic growth. A thorough understanding of the complex relationships between gross domestic product, energy consumption, trade openness, and carbon emissions will enable policymakers to devise strategies that balance ecological sustainability with socio-economic objectives.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Gross domestic product and logistics performance index drive the world trade: A study based on all continents
    (Public Library of Science, 2021-03-03) Jayathilaka, R; Jayawardhana, C; Embogama, N; Jayasooriya, S; Karunarathna, N; Gamage, T; Kuruppu, N
    The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Logistics Performance Index (LPI) on international trade of nations across each continent and worldwide. Secondary data collected on 142 countries—37 Asian, 41 European, 41 African, 3 Oceania, 14 Middle East, 11 North American and 9 South American–were analysed across the years 2007, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018. Panel regression technique was applied and the random effect (RE) model was chosen based on the results of the Hausman tests and Breusch–Pagan Lagrange Multiplier test. The findings revealed that the LPI has a positive relationship with net exports globally and specifically within the continents of Asia, Europe, and Oceania. Moreover, while the GDP appears to have a significant negative impact on net exports, specifically within Asia, in contrast, countries in Oceania and the Middle East present a positive relationship. Also on the African continent, GDP has a significant negative impact on the net exports. Findings provide a holistic picture of the impact of LPI & GDP on net exports, which will assist governments in the formulation and revision of its strategies and policies to expedite the growth of exports and in turn, the economy. This study was the first of its kind to explore the impact of GDP and LPI on international trade of nations across worldwide.