Faculty of Computing

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Subject: search.filters.subject.ARIMA

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Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
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    PublicationEmbargo
    Comparison of ARIMA and LSTM in Forecasting the Retail Prices of Vegetables in Colombo, Sri Lanka
    (IEEE, 2022-12-09) Fonseka, D.D; Karunasena, A
    Identification of vegetable price trends is important to make better decisions in the production and market. Due to several factors, including seasonality, perishability, an imbalanced supply-demand market, customer choice, and the availability of raw materials, vegetable prices fluctuate quickly and are highly unstable. In this study price prediction was concluded using two models ARIMA and LSTM with retail price data for Cabbage, Carrot, and Green beans in Colombo from 2009 to 2018. According to the decision criteria of RMSE and MAPE, the LSTM model is superior to the ARIMA model in predicting the retail prices of vegetables. There were no studies have focused on predicting prices with novel technology in the Sri Lankan vegetable market. Hence the results of this study can be used to build an advanced forecasting model by the government and decision-makers in agriculture in Sri Lanka.
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    PublicationEmbargo
    AI Solution to Assist Online Education Productivity via Personalizing Learning Strategies and Analyzing the Student Performance
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 2022-10-29) Liyanage, M.L.A.P.; Hirimuthugoda, U.J; Liyanage, N.L.T.N.; Thammita, D.H.M.M.P; Koliya Harshanath Webadu Wedanage, D; Kugathasan, A; Thelijjagoda, S
    Higher productivity in online education can be attained by consistent student engagement and appropriate use of learning resources and methodologies in the form of audio, video, and text. Lower literacy rates, decreased popularity, and unsatisfactory end-user goals can result from unbalanced or inappropriate use of the aforementioned. Prior studies mainly focused on identifying and separating the elements affecting the quality of online education and pinpointing the students' preferred learning styles outside of in-person and online instruction. This has not been able to clearly show how to enhance and customize the online learning environment in order to benefit the aforementioned criteria. This case study will primarily concentrate on elements that can be personalized and optimized to improve the quality of online education. With the aid of various algorithms like logistic regression,Support Vector Machines (SVM), time series forecasting (ARIMA), deep neural networks, and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), which make use of machine learning and deep learning techniques, the ultimate result has been attained. To increase application and accuracy, the newly presented technique will then be presented as a web-based software application. Contrary to what is commonly believed, this applied research proposes a new all-in-one Learning Management System (LMS) for students and tutors that acts as a central hub of all the learning resources.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Agro-Genius: Crop Prediction Using Machine Learning
    (https://ijisrt.com/agrogenius-crop-prediction-using-machine-learning, 2019-10) Gamage, M. P. A. W; Kasthurirathna, D; Paresith, M. M; Thayakaran, S; Suganya, S; Puvipavan, P
    This paper present a way to aid farmers focusing on profitable vegetable cultivation in Sri Lanka. As agriculture creates an economic future for developing countries, the demand of modern technologies in this sector is higher. Key technologies used for this problem are Deep Learning, Machine Learning and Visualization. As the product, an android mobile application is developed. In this application the users should input their location to start the prediction process. Data preprocessing is started when the location is received to the system. The collected dataset divided into 3 parts. 80 percent for training, 10 percent for testing and 10 percent for validation. After that the model is created using LSTM RNN for vegetable prediction and ARIMA for price prediction. Finally, for given location profitable crop and predicted future price of vegetables are shown in the application. Other than the prediction, optimizing for multiple crop sowing according to the user requirements and visualizing cultivation and production data on map and graphs are also given in the application. This paper elaborates the procedure of model development, model training and model testing.
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    PublicationEmbargo
    CEYLAGRO: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGICAL APPROACH FOR AN OPTIMIZED AND CENTRALIZED AGRICULITURE PLATFORM
    (2020 2nd International Conference on Advancements in Computing (ICAC), SLIIT, 2020-12-10) Kaushalya, T.V.H.; Wijewardana, B.Y.S.; Karunasena, A.; Kavishika, M.G.G.; Gamage, S.T.A; Weerasinghe, L.
    Sri Lankan Agriculture sector can be considered as a crucial component as it contributes 18% of country GDP. As native farmers still cling to inapplicable traditional theorems and practices to track customer’s vegetable consumption trends, they failed to assure a “good price” for their harvest. Also, the plants are prone to many diseases and pests’ attacks which causes loss of the harvest. Unreliable problem identification, poor knowledge on application of fertilizers and pesticides have caused the farmers to lose their profits. As a solution to mitigate these problems, this study has built a computerized system with a vegetable price prediction system and a plant disease, pest identification system. Taking Potato as an example, the parameters of the time series model were analyzed through experiment and has built the price predictor using ARIMA model. Also, with advanced Image processing and CNN techniques Plant disease, pest identifier has built. Desirable results of the entire system have been achieved with more than 94%-97% rate of accuracy. The ultimate goal of this study is to achieve the optimal growth of the sector by navigating the users for a quality and effective decision making by reliable market trends and problem identification.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Agro-Genius: Crop Prediction Using Machine Learning
    (2019-10) Gamage, A; Kasthurirathna, D
    This paper present a way to aid farmers focusing on profitable vegetable cultivation in Sri Lanka. As agriculture creates an economic future for developing countries, the demand of modern technologies in this sector is higher. Key technologies used for this problem are Deep Learning, Machine Learning and Visualization. As the product, an android mobile application is developed. In this application the users should input their location to start the prediction process. Data preprocessing is started when the location is received to the system. The collected dataset divided into 3 parts. 80 percent for training, 10 percent for testing and 10 percent for validation. After that the model is created using LSTM RNN for vegetable prediction and ARIMA for price prediction. Finally, for given location profitable crop and predicted future price of vegetables are shown in the application. Other than the prediction, optimizing for multiple crop sowing according to the user requirements and visualizing cultivation and production data on map and graphs are also given in the application. This paper elaborates the procedure of model development, model training and model testing.