Performance Prediction Models for Flexible Pavements in Sri Lanka

Abstract

The pavement prediction model forecasts the future PCI ratings based on pavement category, thickness, traffic, pavement life period and existing PCI rating. Nevertheless, with time and inclusion of newer pavement types, there was a need to adjust the prevailing pavement performance models. In addition to, pavements management systems need to develop new models for newer pavement types as well. Some developed pavement performance models in the earlier for the Road Development Authority (RDA) Sri Lanka is used by the roadway segments to predict the future condition and rehabilitations of its network. The available data collections in the roadway agencies in Sri Lanka was used for the research study and the methodology and the analysis section depended on that data collection. Probably we were given the IRI data collections which were done in southern expressway section in Sri Lanka. Based on that data, the analysis part was done for determine the pavement roughness deterioration curves. With a comparison of the developed models, the most suitable model was taken at 95% confidence level with 0.8009 R2 value. This study displays outcomes about of standardizing the present performance models, and creating unused models for the different asphalt forms within the roadway network in Sri Lanka. A comparison of IRI progression with pavement age and traffic volume is also conducted to see if there are major differences between such models developed in other countries. The anticipated expectations condition of the asphalts is utilized in assessing its outstanding benefit life to disappointment, which is of prompt utilize in prescribing future upkeep and recovery necessities for the arrange.